A few quick notes before I get into this week’s games:
- I really, really hate the Jets.
- While I didn’t have much to cheer about this weekend, I could at least take solace in the fact that my 3-1 record against the spread guarantees a winning record of picking games in this space for the 2010-11 season. That was a small personal comfort on an otherwise dreary weekend.
- I hope the groundskeepers at Foxboro make the turf extra-springy next year so if Braylon Edwards tries another a backflip on our homefield, he over-rotates and lands on his head. But I’m really not bitter or anything.
- Even if I drop both Championship Games and the Super Bowl in this space, I’d finish at 27-23-1 on the year. That’s not only a winning record, but also good enough to beat the juice. If I were a betting man, I’d be playing with house money right now.
- If I can win the three remaining games, I’d finish with a .600 winning percentage on the year, which is better than more than a few “professional” handicapping services. Having said that, I probably just doomed myself to a spectacular failure in the last two weeks. But if I can make it happen, I may put some online handicappers (who sell their "services" to the public) out of business. Why buy the cow when you can get the milk for free?
- That last point made me sound like a bit slutty. I think it's time to make some picks.
Steelers (-3) vs. Jets
While my personal distaste for the Steelers is well-documented, I like them to cover the spread and win big this week at home. Besides the New England game in Week 13, all four of the Jets’ other losses this year followed a similar theme – they were playing against a team with a very good front 7 (Baltimore, Green Bay, Miami and Chicago) who shut down the running game. The Jets thrive when they are able to run the ball and take the pressure off Sanchez. They were able to do that last week against New England and the week before against Indy because they dominated the line of scrimmage. Generally speaking, if the Jets can run the ball, they can win. If they can’t, they’re sunk.