The Patriots opened as 11-point favorites as they host the Bills in Week 10.
And I have one of the most banging post-election hangovers in the history of booze. Translation – if you’re looking for biting wit and spot-on analysis, you’re better off waiting for Derek to post the pick ‘em tomorrow. I’m as screwed as the power grid in the Northeast today.
Ever since that little six-quarter stretch where the Bills got outscored 90-10 a few weeks back (a time known to Patriots fans as BWWAAHAHAHHHAHAAAA), they haven’t played like a raging outhouse fire. Buffalo has also done alright against bad defenses, and even after adding Talib, I still think New England’s defense fits in that category. Maybe they’ll improve by a good chunk, but I’m not holding my breath.
With that said, here’s what happened the second time New England has played Buffalo the past two seasons: 49-21, 34-3. Given the fact that the Patriots generally kill teams when they’re coming off a bye, my money is on a repeat performance. I’m taking the Patriots and laying the points.
Other Lines I Like
Eagles (+1) vs. Cowboys
Aside from getting points for a home underdog in a divisional contest, consider these two questions. 1) When was the last time the Eagles lost a game that didn’t matter to their playoff chances? 2)
When was the last time the Cowboys won a game that mattered to their playoff chances? It’s a perfect set-up for the Cowboys to blow a winnable game and the Eagles to win a meaningless game.
Lions (-1) @ Vikings
Both of these teams appear to have turned a corner. The Lions realized that good things happen when they put the ball in Calvin Johnson’s hands. The Vikings have realized that bad things happen when they put the ball in Christian Ponder’s hands.
2012 Record ATS: 18-10
Record ATS since 2010: 89-76-4