QB Tom Brady
The last time he faced the Bills, Brady scored roughly a billion points. The last time he took the field, the offense scored on every meaningful drive. This one isn’t rocket science. He’s the top fantasy QB in the league this week, and it’s not close. Expect something approaching 300+ yards and 3+ scores as a floor, with a ceiling of … a billion?
WRs Wes Welker, Brandon Lloyd
Welker continues to pile up catches and yards, and the week off surely helped some of his bumps, bruises, sprains and strains begin to heal. I’d say he’s a safe bet for 100 yards and a 50-50 shot at a score this week. Lloyd showed improving chemistry with Brady in London, and that should translate to appreciable numbers against a porous Bills secondary. Pencil him in for 75 and a score.
RBs Stevan Ridley, Danny Woodhead, Shane Vereen
This is an excellent matchup for Ridley, and I think it’s safe to pencil him in for 125 and at least one score. Bolden did not practice this week and is unlikely to play, so Vereen should see at least 10 touches with Woodhead getting a half-dozen looks on passing downs. Vereen and Woodhead should combine for another 75-100 total yards and a score. You could make a good argument for flexing either player.
TEs Rob Gronkowski, Aaron Hernandez
Gronk has been an absolute nightmare for the Bills, scoring eight (!) TDs in just five games against Buffalo. Expect more of the same this week with another 100 or so yards and a score. I’m tempering my expectations for Hernandez just a bit since he’ll have to knock off some rust, but he should be able to get 50 yards and an even shot at a score.
New England Defense/Special Teams
This unit has shown significant improvement in terms of fantasy scoring potential, and they are a safe play against a generous Bills team. I could easily see them giving up 24 points, but they should also force several turnovers and tally a few sacks. The defense should benefit from the week off, so there is the potential for even more.